FanBoardHQ

Kansas State

Kansas State University · 2022 · Big 12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#7
Efficiency
+18.7
8th FBS
Record
10-4
Conf. record
8-2
Conf. finish
2nd
of 10
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Kansas State went 10-4 and was ranked 7th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 8th-ranked defense carried them, with an 18th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 55% of offensive plays with a 12th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with a 30th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
2-4
Q2
5-0
Q3
2-0
Q4
1-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

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Expected: 10.0 wins
Strength of Record
7th
+2.8 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
2nd
full season
2nd
CFP committee
#9
FanBoardHQ has them 2 spots higher
Conf. sched. difficulty
42nd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.9 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs South DakotaMVFCW 340+45.2100%8.4Q4
2vs MissouriSEC#60W 4012+15.7100%32.0Q3
3vs TulaneAmerican Athletic#19L 1017+9.40%2.4Q1
4@ OklahomaBig 12#48W 4134+5.6100%18.3Q1
5vs Texas TechBig 12#20W 3728+11.3100%19.3Q2
6@ Iowa StateBig 12#70W 109+7.2100%13.0Q2
8@ TCUBig 12#2L 2838-2.40%11.3Q1
9vs Oklahoma StateBig 12#40W 480+15.5100%37.1Q3
10vs TexasBig 12#17L 2734+1.30%10.5Q1
11@ BaylorBig 12#54W 313+7.5100%36.1Q2
12@ West VirginiaBig 12#63W 4831+11.8100%23.5Q2
13vs KansasBig 12#49W 4727+14.4100%22.2Q2
14vs TCUBig 12#2W 3128+0.4100%21.4Q1
Postseason
vs AlabamaSEC#3L 2045-7.30%1.5Q1

14 played · 10-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Kansas State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+3.0+18.6+34.1832218191311371136232221Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 30th
SR 36thYPP 27thEPA 31st
RushingEff 12th
SR 38thYPP 2ndEPA 17th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 25th
SR 29thYPP 23rdEPA 27th
Rush defenseEff 14th
SR 20thYPP 18thEPA 12th
Dropback rate 45%Tempo -1.6 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 48th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 41%1st2nd · Offense: 44%2nd · Defense allowed: 39%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 42%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 35%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 142.0Q1 · Allowed: 76.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 123.0Q2 · Allowed: 88.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 57.0Q3 · Allowed: 64.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 102.0Q4 · Allowed: 72.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledKansas StateOffenseDefense
Kansas State Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 18th
+8.7
Field position: +2.0Finishing drives: +6.7
Field position +2.0Finishing drives +6.7= +8.7
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 11th · Finishing 25th

Defensive EffRanked 8th
+10.3
Field position: +2.6Finishing drives: +7.7
Field position +2.6Finishing drives +7.7= +10.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 5th · Finishing 13th

2.46 points per drive on offense, 1.72 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(251)48% / 52%51%8.1
Q2(246)46% / 54%39%5.7
Q3(210)46% / 54%36%5.1
Q4(232)32% / 68%44%5.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(148)10.441%6.2
2nd(131)7.745%6.4
3rd(111)7.636%8.0
4th(15)4.660%6.2
All (405)42%6.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(262)9.644%5.9
2nd(177)7.244%6.0
3rd(80)5.444%5.8
4th(15)2.353%2.5
All (534)44%5.8

Kansas State, all games.